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| By Catherine Halcomb
Catherine Halcomb
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1. A firm achieved sales of 1000 units in the month of May when the forecast was for 900 units. The estimated sales for the month of June for a smoothing constant of 0.1 are (1)

Explanation

The given question is related to forecasting sales based on historical data using exponential smoothing. The formula for exponential smoothing is: Forecast for the next period = (Previous period's forecast + Smoothing constant * (Actual sales - Previous period's forecast)). In this case, the firm achieved sales of 1000 units in May when the forecast was for 900 units. The smoothing constant is given as 0.1. Plugging in the values, we get: Forecast for June = (900 + 0.1 * (1000 - 900)) = 910 units. Therefore, the estimated sales for the month of June is 910 units.

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About This Quiz
Sankriya: Agon 2016 Online Quiz - Quiz

The Sankriya: Agon 2016 online quiz assesses knowledge in project management, supply chain strategies, and statistical quality control. Participants answer questions on critical path estimation, process inputs, priority times, and control limits, enhancing their practical and theoretical understanding.

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2. Japanese crossword (scroll down) (5)Horizontal:1. Error-proofing _____3. Incremental minor changes _____6. Non-value adding entity _____7. Cause & Effect diagram also known as _____ diagramVertical:2. Fool-proofing for assembly process _____4. Making fundamental and radical changes to a production system _____5. Sort _____8. Scheduling system _____9. Imbalance in the process _____10. Unreasonable burden  _____

Explanation

The given answer is a list of terms related to the Japanese crossword. Each term corresponds to a clue in the crossword puzzle. The terms include "Pokayoke," which refers to error-proofing, "Kaizen," which refers to incremental minor changes, "Muda," which refers to non-value adding entity, "Ishikawa," which refers to cause & effect diagram, "Pikapika," which is not mentioned in the clues, "Kaikaku," which refers to making fundamental and radical changes to a production system, "Seiri," which refers to sort, "Kanban," which refers to scheduling system, "Mura," which refers to imbalance in the process, and "Muri," which refers to unreasonable burden.

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3. Connect the images _____ (1)

Explanation

The correct answer is CPM, critical path method. The CPM is a project management technique used to determine the longest sequence of dependent activities in a project. It helps in identifying the critical path, which is the sequence of activities that must be completed on time in order to ensure the project's timely completion. The critical path method is commonly used in complex projects to optimize scheduling and resource allocation.

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4. Which of the following statements about ERP systems is true ? (0.5)

Explanation

This statement is true because some ERP software packages are indeed combinations of separate applications for various functions such as manufacturing, materials resource planning, general ledger, human resources, procurement, and order entry. This allows organizations to have a comprehensive system that integrates different aspects of their operations into one software solution.

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5. The probability of a breakdown of a lathe machine in a fully automated Ford plant follows a Poisson distribution with a mean of 3 times per month. What is the probability that the machine doesn't break down in the next 15 days (1)

Explanation

The probability that the machine doesn't break down in the next 15 days can be calculated using the Poisson distribution formula. The mean number of breakdowns per month is given as 3. Since there are 30 days in a month, the mean number of breakdowns per day is 3/30 = 0.1.

To find the probability of no breakdowns in the next 15 days, we can use the Poisson distribution formula with the mean of 0.1 and the number of events (breakdowns) as 0. Plugging these values into the formula, we get:

P(X = 0) = (e^-0.1)*(0.1^0) / 0! = e^-0.1

Calculating this value, we find that it is approximately 0.905. Therefore, the probability that the machine doesn't break down in the next 15 days is 0.905.

Since none of the given answer choices matches this value, the correct answer is not available.

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6. Identify the following symbols and type in your answer (2.5)1. _____2. _____3. _____4. _____5. _____

Explanation

The given answer correctly identifies the symbols as Position, Avoidable delay, plan, Assemble, and Transport empty.

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7. ______ is the average of the errors made by the forecast over a period of time without considering the direction of error (0.5)

Explanation

Mean absolute deviation is the average of the errors made by the forecast over a period of time without considering the direction of error. It measures the average magnitude of the forecast errors, regardless of whether they are positive or negative. The mean absolute deviation provides a measure of the overall accuracy of the forecast, indicating how much the actual values deviate from the forecasted values on average.

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8. This company is the benchmark for lean manufacturing processes. On the supply chain front, the company is using the logistics control tower concept to reduce the impact of supply disruptions. Hint : old logo (0.5)_____

Explanation

Toyota is known for its implementation of lean manufacturing processes, making it the benchmark for this approach. Additionally, the company utilizes the logistics control tower concept to minimize the effects of supply disruptions. The hint provided, "old logo," suggests that the answer is Toyota, as the company's logo has changed over time.

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9. In queuing, polling refers to (0.5)

Explanation

Polling in queuing refers to allowing for only one server for multiple queues. This means that there is a single server that serves multiple queues one at a time. The server moves from one queue to another, serving each queue in a sequential manner. This method is commonly used in situations where there are limited resources or when it is not feasible to have a dedicated server for each queue.

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10. Rajesh enterprises earns a profit of Rs. 75,000 by selling 25,000 units. The selling price and variable cost per unit are Rs. 25 & Rs. 10 respectively. Then the breakeven point occurs at (1)

Explanation

The breakeven point is the point at which a company's total revenue equals its total costs, resulting in neither a profit nor a loss. To calculate the breakeven point, we need to divide the fixed costs by the contribution margin per unit. The contribution margin per unit is the selling price per unit minus the variable cost per unit. In this case, the contribution margin per unit is Rs. 25 - Rs. 10 = Rs. 15. Given that the profit is Rs. 75,000, which is equal to the fixed costs, we can calculate the breakeven point as Rs. 75,000 / Rs. 15 = 5,000 units. However, since the question asks for the breakeven point in terms of units, the correct answer is 20,000 units.

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11. A company uses ​activity-based costing system. The company manufactures three products the details of which are given below. Annual inspection costs are Rs 150000. The inspection cost per unit of Y is closest to (1)

Explanation

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12. The following three tasks form the entire critical path of the project network. The three estimates of each of these tasks are tabulated below. How long would the project take to complete expressed with an accuracy of one standard deviation? (1)

Explanation

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13. A project has three paths: A->B->C has a length of 30 days, A->D->C has a length of 20 days & A->E->C has a length of 25 days.  Which of the following statements is correct ? (0.5)

Explanation

The expected duration of the project is 30 days because the path A->B->C has the longest duration of 30 days, which means that it is the critical path. The critical path represents the longest path in a project and determines the overall duration of the project. Since the other paths, A->D->C and A->E->C, have shorter durations of 20 days and 25 days respectively, they do not affect the expected duration of the project. Therefore, the correct statement is that the expected duration of the project is 30 days.

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14. Which of the following priority time ensure least flow time (0.5)

Explanation

SPT stands for Shortest Processing Time, which means that jobs with the shortest processing time are given the highest priority. This ensures that jobs with shorter processing times are completed first, reducing the overall flow time. Therefore, SPT is the priority rule that ensures the least flow time.

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15. Calculate UCL & LCL for the following measurements of part length (1)

Explanation

The given measurements represent the part length. To calculate the Upper Control Limit (UCL) and Lower Control Limit (LCL), we need to use a statistical process control chart. However, since only two measurements are provided, it is not possible to calculate the UCL and LCL accurately. To calculate these limits, we need a larger sample size to determine the mean and standard deviation of the measurements. Therefore, an explanation for the given answer is not available.

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16. Connect the following figures (1)

Explanation

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17. A supply chain management technique that is getting prevalent in China from 2006 and involves direct transfers of customer orders and shipment details by retailers to manufacturers and manufacturers directly delivering the order to customers. _____ (0.5)

Explanation

Drop shipping is a supply chain management technique that has become increasingly popular in China since 2006. It involves retailers sending customer orders and shipment details directly to manufacturers, who then deliver the orders directly to the customers. This eliminates the need for retailers to hold inventory and allows for faster and more efficient order fulfillment.

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18. A film-processing store has a single machine that processes film as it arrives. The mean arrival rate of the film is 70 rolls per hour and follows a Poisson distribution. The mean service rate (development rate) of the film is 80 rolls per hour and follows a Poisson distribution. Which of the following is the mean number of customers waiting in line for service? (1)

Explanation

The mean number of customers waiting in line for service can be calculated using the formula for the mean number of customers in a queuing system, which is given by the arrival rate divided by the difference between the service rate and the arrival rate. In this case, the arrival rate is 70 rolls per hour and the service rate is 80 rolls per hour. Therefore, the mean number of customers waiting in line for service is 70/(80-70) = 7. Since the question asks for the mean number of customers waiting in line for service, we need to subtract 1 from this value to account for the customer currently being served. Therefore, the correct answer is 7-1 = 6.

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19. Which among the following is an input to project plan execution (0.5)

Explanation

Corrective Action is an input to project plan execution. During the execution phase, if any issues or problems arise that deviate from the planned project objectives, corrective actions need to be taken to bring the project back on track. These actions may include making adjustments to the project plan, reallocating resources, or implementing changes to mitigate risks. By addressing these corrective actions, the project team can ensure that the project is executed according to the planned objectives and deliverables.

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20. Where is the bottle-neck in the below in the following process diagram (0.5)

Explanation

The correct answer is "Either a or b". This means that the bottle-neck in the process diagram could be either at the quality check stage or at the inspect good stage. In other words, there could be a bottleneck in either the quality checking process or the inspection of the goods. Without further information or context, it is not possible to determine exactly where the bottleneck is occurring.

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21. This is an Indian multinational company founded by two Danish Engineers in the pre-Independence era. According to Forbes magazine in 2012, this company is ahead of even Google and Apple in innovative companies list. Name the company _____ (0.5)

Explanation

Larsen & Toubro (L&T) is the correct answer for this question. It is an Indian multinational company that was founded by two Danish Engineers during the pre-Independence era. According to Forbes magazine in 2012, L&T was ranked ahead of even Google and Apple in the list of innovative companies.

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22. Connect the images _____ (1)

Explanation

PERT, Program Evaluation Review Technique, is a project management method used to analyze and represent the tasks involved in completing a project. It involves creating a network diagram that shows the sequence of activities, estimating the time required for each activity, and identifying the critical path. PERT helps in identifying the minimum time required to complete a project and allows for better project planning and resource allocation.

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A firm achieved sales of 1000 units in the month of May when the...
Japanese crossword (scroll down) (5)Horizontal:1. Error-proofing...
Connect the images _____ (1)
Which of the following statements about ERP systems is true ? (0.5)
The probability of a breakdown of a lathe machine in a fully automated...
Identify the following symbols and type in your answer (2.5)1....
______ is the average of the errors made by the forecast over a period...
This company is the benchmark for lean manufacturing processes. On the...
In queuing, polling refers to (0.5)
Rajesh enterprises earns a profit of Rs. 75,000 by selling 25,000...
A company uses ​activity-based costing system. The company...
The following three tasks form the entire critical path of...
A project has three paths: A->B->C has a length of 30 days,...
Which of the following priority time ensure least flow time (0.5)
Calculate UCL & LCL for the following measurements of part length...
Connect the following figures (1)
A supply chain management technique that is getting prevalent in China...
A film-processing store has a single machine that processes film as it...
Which among the following is an input to project plan execution (0.5)
Where is the bottle-neck in the below in the following process diagram...
This is an Indian multinational company founded by two Danish...
Connect the images _____ (1)
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