Marketing Ch. 8

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Marketing Research
is the process of defining a marketing problem and opportunity, systematically collecting and analyzing information, and recommending actions
Decision is a conscious choice from among two or more alternatives
Decision Making
is the act of consciously choosing from alternatives
Exploratory Research
Provides ideas about a relatively vague problem.
Ex: General Mills discovered that the initial version of its Hamburger Helper wasn't satisfactory for many consumers, so it interviewed them to get ideas to improve the product
Descriptive Research
generally involves trying to find the frequency that something occurs or the extent of a relationship b/w two factors.
Ex: When General Mills wants to study how loyal consumers are to its Wheaties, it can obtain data on the number of households buying Wheaties and competitive products.
Causal Research
(the most sophisticated) Tries to determine the extent to which the change in one factor changes another one.
Ex: Fisher-Price decided changing the toy designs is related to changes in the amount of time children play with the toy. Experiments and test markets are examples of causal research.
Research Objectives
are specific, measurable goals the decision maker seeks to achieve in conducting the marketing research.
Measures of Success
criteria or standards used in evaluating proposed solutions to the problem.
Measures of Success are decided before the research begins
Constraints restrictions placed on potential solutions to a problem.
Ex of Constraints
The limitations on the time and money available to solve the problem.
Fisher price might set 2 constraints on its decision to select either the old or new version of the the chatter telephone: decision must be made in 10 weeks, and no budget is available beyond collecting data in a nursery school.
Concepts ideas about products or services
New Product Concept
a picture or verbal description of a product or service the firm might offer for sale
Methods are the approaches that can be used to collect data to solve all or part of a problem
Sampling a technique to select a group of distributors, customers, or prospects and treating the information they provide as typical of all those in whom they are interested
Statistical Inference
used to generalize the results from the sample to much larger groups of distributors, customers, or prospects to help decide on marketing actions
Data facts and figures related to a problem
Secondary Data
facts and figures that have already been recorded before the project at hand
Internal Secondary Data
data that comes from inside the organization.
Sales breakdowns and order requests
External Secondary Data
data comes from outside the organization. data available from the US Census
Primary Data
facts and figures that are newly collected for the project
Internal Secondary Sales are often the....
starting point for a new marketing research study b/c using this info can result in huge time and cost savings
Syndicated Panel Data
answer economic questions that require consistent data collection over time. is a type of external secondary data.
Ex of syndicated panel data
how many times did our customers buy our products this year compared to last. Some companies pay households and business to record all this info.
Advantages of Secondary Data
time savings and low cost
Disadvantages of Secondary Data
data may be out of date, definitions/categories might not be right for a researcher's project, not specific enough
Primary data compared to secondary is more
time consuming and expensive, but may be more specific to the problem
Observational Data
facts and figures obtained by watching, either mechanically or in person, how people actually behave.
Type of primary data
Mechanical Methods of Observational Data
TV ratings using a people meter
People Meter
a box that is attached to TVs, satelite dishes, etc. It has a remote that records when a viewer begins and finishes watching a program and sends the info to Media Research.
Mystery Shopper
companies pay mystery shoppers to check on the quality and pricing of their products and customer service provided by their employees.
Type of Primary Observational Data
Ethnographic Research
a specialized observational approach in which trained observers seek to discover subtle behavior and emotional reactions as consumers encounter products in their "natural use environment", such as the home or car.
A type of Primary Observational Data
Observational data can reveal ___ people do, but it cannot easily determine ____ they do it.
what, why
Neuromarketing uses brain scanning to analyze the buying process. 85% of consumers' thoughts, feelings, or preferences towards something are deep within the subconscious part of the brain and can't be understood using traditional techniques.
Questionnaire Data
facts and figures obtained by asking people about their attitudes, awareness, intentions, and behaviors.
Type of primary data.
Idea Generation Method is? consists of?
coming up with ideas.
Individual Interviews, Depth Interviews, Focus Groups, Fuzzy Front End
Individual Interview
involves a single researcher asking questions of one respondent (most common way in the past)

Depth Interviews
researcher ask lengthy, free-flowing kinds of questions to probe for underlying ideas and feelings
Focus Groups
informal sessions of 6-10 past, present, or prospective customers in which a discussion leader asks their opinions about the firm's and its competitors' products, how they use the products, and special needs they have that these products don't address.
Ex of using focus groups
3M used focus groups to hear consumer complaints about steel wool pads scratching their cookware, which led to the Scotch-Brite Never Scratch soap pads
Fuzzy Front End
wierd/different methods in which marketing researchers rely on to find "the next big thing"
Ex: trend hunting
Trend Hunting
the practice of identifying "emergent shifts in social behavior" which are driven by changes in pop culture that can lead to new products
Idea Evaluation Methods
the marketing researcher tries to test ideas discovered earlier to help the marketing manager recommend marketing actions
Idea evaluation methods often involve...
conventional questionnaires using personal, mail, telphone, fax, and online surveys of a large sample
Mall Intercept Interviews
personal interviews of consumers visiting shopping centers
Open-Ended Questions
allows respondents to express opinions, ideas, or behaviors in their own words w/out being forced to choose among alternatives. Captures the "voice" of respondents
Close-end or Fixed Alternative Questions
require respondents to select one or more response options from a set of predetermined choices
Dichotomous Questions
simplest form of a fixed alternative question that allows only a "yes" or "no" response
a fixed alternative question with 3 or more choices uses a
scale
Semantic Differential Scale
5 point scale in which the opposite ends have one- or two- word adjectives that have opposite meanings.
Ex: how clean a person believes a restaurant is (can pick point 1 through 5)
Likert Scale
respondent indicates the extent to which he or she agrees or disagrees with a statement
Social Networks
intimate and frequent contact among people who share a common interest- at a lower cost than other media
Panel a sample of consumers or stores from which researchers take a series of measurements
the word regularly is
ambiguous
Experiments involves obtaining data by manipulating factors under tightly controlled conditions to test cause and effect, an example of causal research
Experiments want to determine...
if changing an independent variable (a cause) will change the behavior of the dependent variable that is studied (the result)
independent variables are also called
marketing drivers.
drivers are often one or more of the marketing mix elements
test market
a marketing experiment to reduce risk.
Ex: food companies use test markets, which offer a product for sale in a small area to help evaluate potential marketing actions.
the dependent variable usually is a change in
purchases (incremental unit or dollar sales)
Information Technology
involves operating computer networks that can store and process data
Data Warehouse
databases that form the core, where the ocean of data is collected and stored
Sensitivity Analysis
used to query the database with "what if" questions to determine how a hypothetical change in a driver such as advertising can affect sales
Data Mining
extraction of hidden predictive information from large databases to find statistical links b/w consumer purchasing patterns and marketing actions.
RFID Technology
used a "smart tag" microchip on diapers and beer to tell whether they wind up in the same shopping bag at 10 in the evening
Managers are responsible for..
action, which is delivering the results in clear pictures, and if possible, in a single page.
Evaluating the Decision Itself
involves monitoring the marketplace to determine if action is necessary in the future. Are sales increasing to target segment? is new ad appealing to target group?
Evaluating the Decision Process Used
was the marketing research and analysis used to develop the recommendations effective? Was it flawed? Could it be improved for similar situations in the future?
Sales Forecast
total sales of a product that a firm expects to sell during a specified time period under specified environmental conditions and its own marketing efforts
___ % of all sales forecasts are simply the judgment of the individual decision maker who must act on the results of the forecast
99%
Direct Forecast
involves estimating the value to be forecast without any intervening steps.
Ex: how many quarts of milk should i buy? or How much money should I get out of the ATM?
Lost-Horse Forecast
involves starting with the alst known value of the item being forecast, listing the factors that could affect the forecast, assessing whether they have a positive or negative impact, and make the final forecast
Survey of Buyers' Intentions Forecast
involves asking prospective customers if they are likely to buy the product during some future time period
Salesforce Survey Forecast
involves asking the firm's salespeople to estimate sales during a coming period, b/c the people are in contact with customers and are likely to know what customers like and dislike
Trend Extrapolation
involves extending a pattern observed in past data into the future
Linear Trend Extrapolation
when the patter is described with a straight line
what is the best known statistical method of forecasting
trend extrapolation